<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?>
<smile version="1.0" id="ProductQuality" numsamples="1000" discsamples="10000">
	<nodes>
		<demorgan id="High_Quality_of_the_Product" dynamic="plate">
			<priorbelief>0.5</priorbelief>
		</demorgan>
		<demorgan id="Company_s_Current_Reputation" dynamic="anchor">
			<priorbelief>0.9</priorbelief>
		</demorgan>
		<demorgan id="Product_Reputation" dynamic="plate">
			<parents>Company_s_Current_Reputation</parents>
			<types>cause</types>
			<weights>1</weights>
			<priorbelief>0</priorbelief>
		</demorgan>
		<demorgan id="Aggressive_Advertizing" dynamic="plate">
			<priorbelief>0.5</priorbelief>
		</demorgan>
		<demorgan id="High_Production_Cost" dynamic="plate">
			<parents>High_Quality_of_the_Product Aggressive_Advertizing</parents>
			<types>cause cause</types>
			<weights>0.3 0.05</weights>
			<priorbelief>0.1</priorbelief>
		</demorgan>
		<demorgan id="High_Price" dynamic="plate">
			<parents>High_Production_Cost</parents>
			<types>cause</types>
			<weights>0.2</weights>
			<priorbelief>0.3</priorbelief>
		</demorgan>
		<demorgan id="Company_s_Reputation" dynamic="plate">
			<parents>Company_s_Current_Reputation</parents>
			<types>cause</types>
			<weights>1</weights>
			<priorbelief>0</priorbelief>
		</demorgan>
		<demorgan id="High_Sales" dynamic="plate">
			<parents>Product_Reputation High_Price Company_s_Reputation</parents>
			<types>cause inhibitor cause</types>
			<weights>0.8 0.7000000000000001 0.1</weights>
			<priorbelief>0.1</priorbelief>
		</demorgan>
		<demorgan id="High_Profits" dynamic="plate">
			<parents>High_Sales High_Production_Cost</parents>
			<types>cause inhibitor</types>
			<weights>0.9 0.6</weights>
			<priorbelief>0.1</priorbelief>
		</demorgan>
		<demorgan id="Large_Market_Share" dynamic="plate">
			<parents>High_Sales</parents>
			<types>cause</types>
			<weights>0.9</weights>
			<priorbelief>0.05</priorbelief>
		</demorgan>
	</nodes>
	<dynamic numslices="24">
		<demorgan id="Product_Reputation" order="1">
			<parents>Product_Reputation Aggressive_Advertizing High_Quality_of_the_Product Company_s_Reputation</parents>
			<types>cause cause cause cause</types>
			<weights>0.8 0.1 0.8 0.1</weights>
			<priorbelief>0</priorbelief>
		</demorgan>
		<demorgan id="Company_s_Reputation" order="1">
			<parents>Company_s_Reputation</parents>
			<types>cause</types>
			<weights>0.9500000000000001</weights>
			<priorbelief>0</priorbelief>
		</demorgan>
		<demorgan id="Company_s_Reputation" order="2">
			<parents>Product_Reputation</parents>
			<types>cause cause</types>
			<weights>0.9500000000000001 0.3</weights>
			<priorbelief>0</priorbelief>
		</demorgan>
		<demorgan id="High_Sales" order="1">
			<parents>Aggressive_Advertizing</parents>
			<types>cause inhibitor cause cause</types>
			<weights>0.8 0.7000000000000001 0.1 0.2</weights>
			<priorbelief>0.1</priorbelief>
		</demorgan>
	</dynamic>
	<extensions>
		<genie version="1.0" app="GeNIe 2.4.5001.4 1d5d94cc6011800" name="Product Quality" faultnameformat="nodestate">
			<comment>A simple qualitative dynamic model predicting profits and market share based on variables describing the quality of a new product and the product&apos;s and company&apos;s reputation.\n\nSource:\nBayesFusion, LLC</comment>
			<plate leftwidth="145" rightwidth="100">6 6 785 549</plate>
			<qualcolors left="ff0000" center="ffffff" right="339966" blend="sine" />
			<node id="High_Quality_of_the_Product">
				<name>High Quality of the Product</name>
				<interior color="e5f6f7" />
				<outline color="000080" />
				<font color="000000" name="Arial" size="12" />
				<position>179 86 309 167</position>
				<comment>We mean hear a Mercedes-type quality.</comment>
				<barchart width="128" height="66" />
			</node>
			<node id="Product_Reputation" manipulable="false">
				<name>Product Reputation</name>
				<interior color="e5f6f7" />
				<outline color="000080" />
				<font color="000000" name="Arial" size="12" />
				<position>232 231 336 296</position>
				<barchart width="128" height="66" />
			</node>
			<node id="High_Production_Cost" reversecolor="true">
				<name>High Production Cost</name>
				<interior color="e5f6f7" />
				<outline color="000080" />
				<font color="000000" name="Arial" size="12" />
				<position>517 157 641 234</position>
				<barchart width="128" height="66" />
			</node>
			<node id="Aggressive_Advertizing">
				<name>Aggressive Advertizing</name>
				<interior color="e5f6f7" />
				<outline color="000080" />
				<font color="000000" name="Arial" size="12" />
				<position>354 48 461 114</position>
			</node>
			<node id="High_Price" reversecolor="true">
				<name>High Price</name>
				<interior color="e5f6f7" />
				<outline color="000080" />
				<font color="000000" name="Arial" size="12" />
				<position>455 266 541 319</position>
				<barchart width="128" height="66" />
			</node>
			<node id="High_Sales" manipulable="false">
				<name>High Sales</name>
				<interior color="e5f6f7" />
				<outline color="000080" />
				<font color="000000" name="Arial" size="12" />
				<position>389 381 479 437</position>
				<barchart width="128" height="66" />
			</node>
			<node id="High_Profits" manipulable="false">
				<name>High Profits</name>
				<interior color="e5f6f7" />
				<outline color="000080" />
				<font color="000000" name="Arial" size="12" />
				<position>558 470 652 528</position>
				<barchart width="128" height="66" />
			</node>
			<node id="Large_Market_Share" focus="true" manipulable="false">
				<name>Large Market Share</name>
				<interior color="e5f6f7" />
				<outline color="000080" />
				<font color="000000" name="Arial" size="12" />
				<position>385 473 479 541</position>
				<barchart width="128" height="66" />
			</node>
			<node id="Company_s_Reputation">
				<name>Company&apos;s Reputation</name>
				<interior color="e5f6f7" />
				<outline color="000080" />
				<font color="000000" name="Arial" size="12" />
				<position>181 382 288 448</position>
				<comment>This variable represents the reputation of the company, as impacted by the new product.</comment>
				<barchart width="128" height="66" />
			</node>
			<node id="Company_s_Current_Reputation">
				<name>Company&apos;s Current Reputation</name>
				<interior color="e5f6f7" />
				<outline color="000080" />
				<font color="000000" name="Arial" size="12" />
				<position>12 221 139 300</position>
				<comment>This is the current reputation of the company, as earned over the years.</comment>
			</node>
			<textbox>
				<caption>A simple qualitative dynamic model predicting profits and market share based on variables describing the quality of a new product and the product&apos;s and company&apos;s reputation.</caption>
				<font color="000000" name="Arial" size="12" bold="true" />
				<position>611 266 858 380</position>
			</textbox>
		</genie>
	</extensions>
</smile>
