Sensitivity 0.1 0.9 0.2 0.8 0.35 0.65 Success 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.6 Sensitivity Success Invest 10000 500 -5000 500 This tutorial model demonstrates sensitivity analysis for influence diagrams in GeNIe.\nNode Sensitivity is an index node that allows us to (1) enter various values for the probability distribution of node Success, and (2) observe the expected utilities of various decision options in node Invest for these values.\n\nReference:\nBayesFusion, LLC Sensitivity 120 20 197 48 This variable is an index that allows for computing sensitivity of the result to uncertainty about the a-priori probability of success of the business venture. Success of the venture 180 80 292 145 This variable describes uncertainty related to the success of a widget manufacturing plant. Quantification of the uncertainty is obtained from market statistics for widget producing ventures. We simplified the variable somewhat by assuming that it can take only two values: success or failure. Expert forecast 193 180 279 239 The information captured in this variable comes from T.J. Jones Company, Professional Consultants. Investment decision 42 89 129 136 The decision is whether to invest $5,000 in a startup company. The options are to invest or not to invest. In the latter case, the money will be deposited risk-free in a bank. Financial Gain 32 188 139 230 This node specifies the total financial gain resulting from the investment decision. Please note that the original investment amount is not included in the gain. This tutorial model demonstrates sensitivity analysis for influence diagrams in GeNIe.\nNode Sensitivity is an index node that allows us to (1) enter various values for the probability distribution of node Success, and (2) observe the expected utilities of various decision options in node Invest for these values. 340 20 604 210