0.2 0.8 Success 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.6 A simple Bayesian network, a subset of the Venture influence diagram.\nReference:\nBayesFusion, LLC Success of the venture 74 28 156 79 Expert forecast 69 158 155 211 A simple BN modeling the dependence of expert forecast on the quality of the company. The expert's forecast is sensitive to the quality of the company. 242 20 475 134