SensitivityS SensitivityP 0.1 0.9 0.2 0.8 0.35 0.65 Success 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.6 SensitivityP Success Invest SensitivityS 2000 8000 15000 500 500 500 -5000 -5000 -5000 500 500 500 This tutorial model demonstrates sensitivity analysis in GeNIe.\nNode Sensitivity is an index node that allows us to (1) enter various values for the probability distribution of node Success, and (2) observe the expected utilities of various decision options in node Invest for these values.\n\nReference:\nBayesFusion, LLC Sensitivity of $ 33 58 124 108 Sensitivity of P 193 58 284 108 This variable is an index that allows for computing sensitivity of the result to uncertainty about the a-priori probability of success of the business venture. Success of the venture 293 175 421 246 This variable describes uncertainty related to the success of a widget manufacturing plant. Quantification of the uncertainty is obtained from market statistics for widget producing ventures. We simplified the variable somewhat by assuming that it can take only two values: success or failure. Expert forecast 310 322 412 377 The information captured in this variable comes from T.J. Jones Company, Professional Consultants. Investment decision 135 183 231 233 The decision is whether to invest $5,000 in a startup company. The options are to invest or not to invest. In the latter case, the money will be deposited risk-free in a bank. Financial Gain 70 327 187 371 This node specifies the total financial gain resulting from the investment decision. Please note that the original investment amount is not included in the gain. This tutorial model demonstrates sensitivity analysis in GeNIe.\nNode Sensitivity is an index node that allows us to (1) enter various values for the probability distribution of node Success, and (2) observe the expected utilities of various decision options in node Invest for these values. 361 18 742 151