<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?>
<smile version="1.0" id="Figure12_4" numsamples="10000" discsamples="10000">
	<nodes>
		<cpt id="Market_Activity">
			<state id="Up" />
			<state id="Flat" />
			<state id="Down" />
			<probabilities>0.5 0.3 0.2</probabilities>
		</cpt>
		<cpt id="Economy_Forecast">
			<state id="Up" />
			<state id="Flat" />
			<state id="Down" />
			<parents>Market_Activity</parents>
			<probabilities>0.8 0.1 0.1 0.15 0.7 0.15 0.2 0.2 0.6</probabilities>
		</cpt>
		<decision id="Investment">
			<state id="Choice0" />
			<state id="Choice1" />
			<state id="Choice2" />
		</decision>
		<utility id="Payoff">
			<parents>Market_Activity Investment</parents>
			<utilities>1500 1000 500 100 200 500 -1000 -100 500</utilities>
		</utility>
	</nodes>
	<extensions>
		<genie version="1.0" app="GeNIe 2.2.2626.2 1d3af2fc8bc8c80" name="Clemen Figure 12.4" faultnameformat="nodestate">
			<comment>Figure 12.4: Imperfect information in the investor&apos;s problem.\nReference:\nRobert T. Clemen, Making Hard Decisions: An Introduction to Decision Analysis, Second Edition. Duxbury Press, 1996.</comment>
			<node id="Market_Activity">
				<name>Market Activity</name>
				<interior color="e5f6f7" />
				<outline color="0000bb" />
				<font color="000080" name="Arial" size="10" bold="true" />
				<position>154 23 244 67</position>
			</node>
			<node id="Economy_Forecast">
				<name>Economy Forecast</name>
				<interior color="e5f6f7" />
				<outline color="0000bb" />
				<font color="000080" name="Arial" size="10" bold="true" />
				<position>35 22 135 67</position>
			</node>
			<node id="Investment">
				<name>Investment Decision</name>
				<interior color="e5f6f7" />
				<outline color="0000bb" />
				<font color="000080" name="Arial" size="10" bold="true" />
				<position>43 102 126 146</position>
			</node>
			<node id="Payoff">
				<name>Payoff</name>
				<interior color="e5f6f7" />
				<outline color="0000bb" />
				<font color="000080" name="Arial" size="10" bold="true" />
				<position>161 106 237 142</position>
			</node>
			<textbox>
				<caption>Figure 12.4: Imperfect information in the investor&apos;s problem.\nRobert T. Clemen, Making Hard Decisions: An Introduction to Decision Analysis, Second Edition. Duxbury Press, 1996.</caption>
				<font color="000080" name="Arial" size="12" bold="true" />
				<position>21 170 484 227</position>
			</textbox>
			<textbox>
				<caption>To perform the value of information computation on this diagram, select the nodes Economy_Forecast and Investment and choose Network/Value of Information.</caption>
				<font color="000080" name="Arial" size="12" bold="true" />
				<position>272 19 483 152</position>
			</textbox>
		</genie>
	</extensions>
</smile>
