0.5 0.5 WeatherDay1 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 WeatherDay2 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 WeatherDay1 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 ForecastDay1 ForecastDay2 ProtectDay1 WeatherDay1 ProtectDay1 WeatherDay1 0 0 0 0 WeatherDay2 ProtectDay2 0 0 0 0 WeatherDay2 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 WeatherDay3 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 ProtectDay2 ForecastDay3 WeatherDay2 ProtectDay3 WeatherDay3 0 0 0 0 CashFlowDay1 CashFlowDay2 CashFlowDay3 1 1 1 Figure 3.13: Influence diagram for farmer's sequential decision problem.\nReference:\nRobert T. Clemen, Making Hard Decisions: An Introduction to Decision Analysis, Second Edition. Duxbury Press, 1996. Weather Day 1 74 19 147 84 Weather Day 2 254 19 327 84 Forecast Day 2 174 79 247 144 Forecast Day 1 15 79 88 144 Protect Day 1? 28 165 132 193 Protect Day 2? 188 165 292 193 Cash Flow Day 1 76 217 176 254 Cash Flow Day 2 258 217 358 254 Weather Day 3 415 19 488 84 Forecast Day 3 334 79 407 144 Protect Day 3? 348 165 452 193 Cash Flow Day 3 418 217 518 254 Total Value 360 278 435 314 Figure 3.13: Influence diagram for farmer's sequential decision problem (structure only).\nRobert T. Clemen, Making Hard Decisions: An Introduction to Decision Analysis, Second Edition. Duxbury Press, 1996. 23 325 496 401