<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?>
<smile version="1.0" id="Figure3_12" numsamples="10000" discsamples="10000">
	<nodes>
		<cpt id="HurricanePath">
			<state id="HitsMiami" />
			<state id="MissesMiami" />
			<probabilities>0.5 0.5</probabilities>
		</cpt>
		<cpt id="Forecast">
			<state id="WillHitMiami" />
			<state id="WillMissMiami" />
			<parents>HurricanePath</parents>
			<probabilities>0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5</probabilities>
		</cpt>
		<decision id="Wait">
			<state id="Wait" />
			<state id="Decide" />
		</decision>
		<decision id="Evacuate">
			<state id="Evacuate" />
			<state id="Stay" />
			<parents>Forecast Wait</parents>
		</decision>
		<utility id="Consequence">
			<parents>HurricanePath Evacuate Wait</parents>
			<utilities>0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0</utilities>
		</utility>
	</nodes>
	<extensions>
		<genie version="1.0" app="GeNIe 2.2.2626.2 1d3af2fc8bc8c80" name="Clemen Figure 3.12" faultnameformat="nodestate">
			<comment>Figure 3.12: A sequential version of the evacuation decision.\nReference:\nRobert T. Clemen, Making Hard Decisions: An Introduction to Decision Analysis, Second Edition. Duxbury Press, 1996.</comment>
			<node id="HurricanePath">
				<name>Hurricane Path</name>
				<interior color="e5f6f7" />
				<outline color="0000bb" />
				<font color="000080" name="Arial" size="10" bold="true" />
				<position>254 16 354 64</position>
			</node>
			<node id="Forecast">
				<name>Forecast</name>
				<interior color="e5f6f7" />
				<outline color="0000bb" />
				<font color="000080" name="Arial" size="10" bold="true" />
				<position>142 22 218 58</position>
			</node>
			<node id="Wait">
				<name>Wait for Forecast?</name>
				<interior color="e5f6f7" />
				<outline color="0000bb" />
				<font color="000080" name="Arial" size="10" bold="true" />
				<position>27 80 98 123</position>
			</node>
			<node id="Evacuate">
				<name>Evacuate?</name>
				<interior color="e5f6f7" />
				<outline color="0000bb" />
				<font color="000080" name="Arial" size="10" bold="true" />
				<position>143 82 219 118</position>
			</node>
			<node id="Consequence">
				<name>Consequence</name>
				<interior color="e5f6f7" />
				<outline color="0000bb" />
				<font color="000080" name="Arial" size="10" bold="true" />
				<position>247 149 362 185</position>
			</node>
			<textbox>
				<caption>Figure 3.12: A sequential version of the evacuation decision (structure only).\nRobert T. Clemen, Making Hard Decisions: An Introduction to Decision Analysis, Second Edition. Duxbury Press, 1996.</caption>
				<font color="000080" name="Arial" size="12" bold="true" />
				<position>22 215 473 291</position>
			</textbox>
		</genie>
	</extensions>
</smile>
